The Path To Houston, Part 3

As expected, the Tar Heels survived the 1st weekend in Raleigh. While tested, neither game ever seemed to be in doubt. Indiana presents a new challenge. They can match Carolina’s depth. They also feature strength in some typical areas of weakness for this Tar Heel squad – strong 3-point shooting and offensive rebounding. Here is a primer for what most people are considering the marquee matchup of the Sweet 16.

Sweet Sixteen: Indiana

  • 27-7 (15-3)
  • 1st in Big Ten
  • Stat Leaders
    • Points: Yogi Ferrell – 17.0
    • Assists: Yogi Ferrell – 5.5
    • FG%: Thomas Bryant – 68.6
    • Rebounds: Troy Williams – 5.9
    • Steals: Troy Williams – 1.2
    • Blocks: Thomas Bryant – 0.9
    • Minutes: Yogi Ferrell – 34.7

Probable Indiana Starters

Player Height Weight MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3-PT% FT% TO/G SPG BPG
Yogi Ferrell 6’0” 180 34.7 17.1 3.8 5.6 45.9 41.9 82.5 2.5 1.1 0.0
Nick Zeisloft 6’4” 210 20.1 6.7 1.6 0.9 42.6 42.5 90.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
Troy Williams 6’7” 215 26.0 13.0 5.9 2.0 51.6 31.3 68.8 2.6 1.1 0.8
Collin Hartman 6’7” 215 21.7 4.9 3.1 1.7 44.9 36.4 84.2 1.1 0.8 0.3
Thomas Bryant 6’10” 245 22.4 11.9 5.7 0.9 68.9 35.7 70.2 1.6 0.5 0.9

Key Reserves

Player Height Weight MPG PPG RPG APG FG% 3-PT% FT% TO/G SPG BPG
Robert Johnson 6’3” 195 24.9 8.1 3.3 3.1 44.9 44.7 63.9 1.7 0.6 0.2
Max Bielfeldt 6’8” 240 17.4 8.0 4.6 0.7 51.7 44.1 69.0 1.1 0.9 0.5
OG Anunoby 6’8” 215 13.6 4.9 2.6 0.5 58.0 44.8 47.6 0.8 0.8 0.8

 

The Numbers

  North Carolina Indiana
KenPom Rank 3 13
Points per game 82.4 82.5
Adj. Offensive Efficiency (Rank) 120.1 (5th) 118.9 (8th)
Adj. Defensive Efficiency (Rank) 93.6 (11th) 98.0 (54th)
Tempo (Rank) 72.0 (48th) 69.2 (152nd)
Field Goal% 47.8 50.5
2P FG% 53.8 56.6
3P FG% 31.4 41.6
3PA% 26.6 40.5
FT% 74.2 72.5
FT Rate 32.1% 33.6%
RPG 41.0 36.9
Offensive Reb Rate 39.9% 37.1%
Defensive Reb Rate 70.1% 71.2%
APG 17.8 16.1
BPG 4.5 4.0
SPG 6.9 7.0
TOPG 10.9 13.6
TO Rate 15.4% 19.6%

Indiana Injuries

Much like Carolina, the Hoosiers have a lot of depth on their roster. That depth has taken a hit though. Starter James Blackmon, Jr. was lost for the season before conference play. Typical starter Robert Johnson has been limited recently by a high ankle sprain and missed most of the Kentucky game last weekend. Juwan Morgan has been limited by recurring shoulder problems. Johnson and Morgan’s effectiveness will certainly be a factor this evening.

X-Factor – Thomas Bryant. If he stays on the court, it allows Indiana to have a balanced inside/outside attack. The Heels will need to go at him early and often, as he is prone to fouling, and force him to the bench.

Main Key to the Game – Limit Indiana’s open looks from 3. The Hoosiers will score from outside, but the Heels must channel their ACC Tournament defense and get a hand up on shooters. The key will be staying in front of Ferrell or other penetrating guards so that the other 4 defenders don’t have to help off shooters.

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