The Path To Houston, Part 1

The Path To Houston, Part 1

The path to March Madness glory is rarely paved with chalk. But what if it was? These are the teams the Tar Heels would play:

Round 1: Florida Gulf Coast

  • 21-13 (8-6)
  • 3rd in Atlantic-Sun

Round 2: USC

  • 21-12 (9-9)
  • 6th in Pac-12

Sweet Sixteen: Kentucky

  • 26-8 (13-5)
  • 2nd in SEC

Elite 8: Xavier

  • 27-5 (14-4)
  • 2nd in Big East

Final Four: Virginia

  • 26-7 (13-5)
  • 2nd in ACC

National Championship: Kansas

  • 30-4 (15-3)
  • 1st in Big 12

In the meantime, this is the first (of hopefully 6!) part of The Path To Houston, looking at the teams UNC will play on the road to Houston. First up, Florida Gulf Coast:

  • 21-13 (8-6)
  • 3rd in Atlantic-Sun
  • Mascot: Eagle
  • teamrankings.com gives UNC a 95% chance to win this game
  • UNC is favored by 22.
  • You might recall that in the 2013 NCAA Tournament, FGCU, as a 15 seed, beat Georgetown (#2) and San Diego State (#7) before losing to Florida (#3) in the Sweet Sixteen. That team was coached by Andy Enfield, who is now at USC, a potential 2nd round match-up for the winner of this game.
  • Interestingly, FGCU averages more possessions a game (73.3), than does UNC (72.4). Should be a fun, fast-paced, up-and-down game. Afterwards, we’ll probably hear Roy say something about the discrepancy in talent between the two teams.
  • Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
    • FGCU – 102.8 (179th)
    • UNC – 119.6 (5th)
  • Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
    • FGCU – 103.1 (163rd)
    • UNC – 93.8 (12th)
  • FGCU strengths
    • Defensive Rebounding
    • Shooting Accuracy
  • FGCU weaknesses
    • FT shooting
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